RDNA5 damage assessment: Ukraine needs $15.25 billion for recovery by 2026
According to RDNA5’s estimate, Ukraine will need $15.25 billion for priority recovery in 2026. Total reconstruction and rehabilitation needs for the next decade are estimated at $588 billion.
On February 23, the official presentation of the Fifth Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (RDNA5) for Ukraine, covering the period from February 24, 2022, to December 31, 2025, took place in Kyiv. This is reported on the website of the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine.
The document was prepared jointly by the World Bank, the Government of Ukraine, the European Commission, and the United Nations in coordination with international partners, scientific institutions, civil society, and the private sector.
On the part of the Government of Ukraine, the preparation of RDNA5 was led by the Ministry of Community and Territorial Development in coordination with the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Economy, Environment, and Agriculture of Ukraine.
RDNA5 provides an updated comprehensive assessment of physical damage, economic losses, and reconstruction and rehabilitation needs caused by the Russian Federation's criminal aggression against Ukraine. As of the end of 2025:
Recovery and reconstruction needs for the next ten years are estimated at US$588 billion, which is almost three times Ukraine's projected GDP in 2025. For 2025, this amount has increased by 12% from US$524 billion at the end of 2024.
The total amount of direct damage is estimated at US$195 billion, which is 10.8% more than RDNA4. The housing stock, transport, and energy infrastructure were the most affected.
Socio-economic losses amounted to US$667 billion, reflecting the profound impact on production, employment, household income, and service provision.
The Ukrainian government is already implementing priority recovery measures for 2026 with a total funding of US$15.25 billion, of which about 34% is provided by the state budget and confirmed support from partners. At the same time, financial needs remain significant.
RDNA5 emphasizes the key role of the private sector in rebuilding the country. Provided that the necessary reforms are implemented, up to 40% of reconstruction needs could be financed by private investment over the next decade. In this context, reforms in the areas of the rule of law, state-owned enterprise management, public-private partnership development, financial market deepening, and EU integration remain important.
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